Published July 24, 2026 | TIKC NewsWire
There is a collision happening in federal contracting right now, and most small business owners do not yet have a name for it. On one side: tariffs that have driven up the cost of materials, supplies, and imported inputs. On the other: a federal government that just mandated fixed-price contracts as the procurement default — meaning when your input costs rise, the government does not share the pain. You absorb it.
What the Federal Reserve Data Actually Shows
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York published its analysis of tariff impacts on small businesses in July 2026, and the findings are stark. Small businesses were particularly challenged by higher tariffs in 2025, and most responded to higher costs by increasing prices for consumers. But federal contractors cannot simply raise their prices mid-contract. That is the trap.
About 70% of goods firms and 80% of retail firms reported using at least some inputs sourced from outside the U.S. in 2024. From March 2025 through February 2026, small-business importers paid an average of $441,000 across all tariffs, or about $37,000 per month. The burden falls disproportionately on small businesses: large firms may mitigate the incidence of higher input prices from tariffs by legal means and have greater ability to maintain price markups.
The Fixed-Price Mandate Makes It Worse
Under a fixed-price contract, you commit to a deliverable at a stated price. If your material costs rise 15% after award because of new tariffs on steel, aluminum, or imported components, that 15% does not flow back to the government — it comes out of your margin. Some businesses operate under contracts with fixed selling prices and are unable to raise prices until such contracts expire, forcing them to absorb cost increases in the meantime. Federal contractors are structurally in that position on every fixed-price award.
What Small Business Federal Contractors Can Do Right Now
On new bids — price for tariff risk explicitly. Build a tariff contingency into your cost estimate — document it in your basis of estimate as a line item tied to current tariff rates on specific import categories.
Request economic price adjustment clauses on new solicitations. EPA clauses tie contract prices to published indices — steel, fuel, labor, or other inputs — and allow price adjustment when those indices move beyond a defined threshold. They are standard tools in FAR Part 16.
Audit your domestic suppliers for tariff pass-throughs. If a domestic vendor raised prices after April 2025 without explanation, request an itemized breakdown. What looks like a supplier margin decision may actually be a tariff pass-through.
On existing contracts — review your EPA and equitable adjustment rights. If material costs have risen materially since award due to tariffs imposed after the contract was signed, you may have grounds for an equitable adjustment. Document your actual cost impacts starting now and consult with a federal contracts attorney.
The Bottom Line
Tariffs and fixed-price contracts are two separate federal policy decisions that have collided directly on the backs of small business federal contractors. Your job is to price smarter, build in protection clauses, audit your supply chain for hidden tariff costs, and document every cost impact on existing work. The Federal Reserve confirmed what small business owners already know: the burden is real, it is disproportionate, and it is not going away. Brick by brick — protect your margins, protect your contracts, and position now before the next tariff wave lands.
Frequently Asked Questions
How are tariffs affecting small business federal contractors specifically?
Small business contractors face a double squeeze: tariffs are raising the cost of materials and imported inputs, while the federal government’s new fixed-price contract mandate means those cost increases cannot be passed to the government. The Federal Reserve confirms small businesses are less able to absorb tariff costs than large firms.
What is an economic price adjustment clause and how does it help?
An EPA clause is a contract provision under FAR Part 16 that allows contract prices to be adjusted when specific cost indices move beyond defined thresholds after award. Requesting EPA clauses on new solicitations is one of the most effective tools contractors have to protect against tariff-driven cost increases.
Can I get an equitable adjustment on an existing fixed-price contract due to tariffs?
Potentially. If tariffs were imposed after your contract was awarded and materially increased your cost of performance, you may have grounds for an equitable adjustment claim. The analysis is fact-specific and requires consultation with a federal contracts attorney. Document your actual cost impacts starting now.
References
Aarons, W. & Sarkar, A. (2026, July 9). Effect of Tariffs on U.S. Small Businesses. Federal Reserve Bank of New York Liberty Street Economics. https://libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2026/07/effect-of-tariffs-on-u-s-small-businesses/
PilieroMazza. (2026, May 8). Fixed-price contracts EO: What it means for government contractors. https://www.pilieromazza.com/fixed-price-contracts-eo-what-it-means-for-government-contractors/
About the Author
Melanie Patterson
Founder & CEO of Team Integrity Knowledge Center and creator of GovCon iSource. Former nurse turned entrepreneur with over 10 years guiding small, women-owned, and minority-owned businesses to over $10 million in government awards. Hands-on DoD and FEMA freight experience through Integrity Global Logistics. Build, grow, scale — brick by brick. Contact
